The read
HOLD. Proven production when given volume. Potential for increased opportunity with Pittman gone.
Buy 1 · Hold 0 · Fade 2
Moderate agreement: 2 of 3 reads lean fade.
Josh Downs Dynasty Profile
Josh Downs plays WR for IND, with a market value of 1,847 and 8.5 fantasy points per game across 16 active games.
WR IND · Age 24 · NFL year 4
Market value
1,847 -68 / 30d
WR47 on the current board
Points per game
8.5
136.4 points · 16 active games
Last 4 active
9.3 +0.8 PPG
Versus 8.5 season pace
Market edge
-3 Priced ahead
WR50 production vs WR47 market
Market value · 90-day signal
Current value 1,847. The final 30-day move is -68.
The final 30 days use the verified market delta. Earlier points provide directional context and are not recorded daily history.
Market position
- Tier expectation
- -3 PPG vs Flex baseline
- Trade frequency
- 1.5% of tracked trades, 30 days
- 30-day move
- -68 (-3.6%)
- Board position
- WR47 market · WR50 production
The Dynalyze take
Recurring themes
- WR47 market rank versus WR50 production rank FADE 2 of 3 reads
- Last-four pace is +0.8 PPG versus season pace BUY 1 of 3 reads
- Market value moved -68 over 30 days FADE 2 of 3 reads
The case
Bull case
- 136.4 points across 16 active games. box scores
- 8.5 PPG is -3 versus the current tier baseline. model
- WR50 production keeps the profile competitive at the position. model
Bear case
- Last-four pace is +0.8 PPG versus the season rate. box scores
- WR47 market rank versus WR50 production rank defines the price risk. market feed
- Snap share was limited last year. Uncertainty about Colts' target distribution. Some may be skeptical about his upside or role. Potential competition from new outside receivers like Keenan Allen or Deebo Samuel. The team context points to contender, which should shape how aggressively managers chase the profile. consensus
Roster fit
- Contenders should hold unless an offer clearly improves the weekly lineup. model
- Rebuilders should require liquidity, picks, or age insulation before moving below tier. model
- Offer discipline matters more than forcing action at the current signal strength. consensus
Comparable assets
Nearest WR assets by current market value.
| Player | Value | PPG | Market rank | Production rank | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 WR Xavier Worthy |
1,823 | 7.9 | WR48 | WR65 | -17 |
 WR Ricky Pearsall |
1,803 | 9.8 | WR49 | WR54 | -5 |
 WR Matthew Golden |
1,902 | 5 | WR46 | WR79 | -33 |