Patrick Mahomes Dynasty Profile

Patrick Mahomes plays QB for KC, with a market value of 5,730 and 21.2 fantasy points per game across 14 active games.

Patrick Mahomes headshot

QB KC · Age 30 · NFL year 10

Market value

5,730 +23 / 30d

QB8 on the current board

Points per game

21.2

296.7 points · 14 active games

Last 4 active

17.7 -3.5 PPG

Versus 21.2 season pace

Market edge

+2 Priced behind

QB6 production vs QB8 market

Market value · 90-day signal

Current value 5,730. The final 30-day move is +23.

The final 30 days use the verified market delta. Earlier points provide directional context and are not recorded daily history.

Market position

Tier expectation
+0.2 PPG vs Tier1 baseline
Trade frequency
0.8% of tracked trades, 30 days
30-day move
+23 (+0.4%)
Board position
QB8 market · QB6 production

The Dynalyze take

The read

WATCH. Confirmed Week 1 starter status reduces risk. Performance may vary due to changes in offensive scheme and health.

Buy 2 · Hold 0 · Fade 1

Moderate agreement: 2 of 3 reads lean buy.

Recurring themes

  • QB8 market rank versus QB6 production rank BUY 2 of 3 reads
  • Last-four pace is -3.5 PPG versus season pace FADE 1 of 3 reads
  • Market value moved +23 over 30 days BUY 2 of 3 reads

The case

Bull case

  • 296.7 points across 14 active games. box scores
  • 21.2 PPG is +0.2 versus the current tier baseline. model
  • QB6 production keeps the profile competitive at the position. model

Bear case

  • Last-four pace is -3.5 PPG versus the season rate. box scores
  • QB8 market rank versus QB6 production rank defines the price risk. market feed
  • Some believe he might start on PUP list. Uncertainty about how much he will run or pass effectively. No direct buy or sell stance. Only part of context for other players. The team context points to contender, which should shape how aggressively managers chase the profile. consensus

Roster fit

  • Contenders should hold unless an offer clearly improves the weekly lineup. model
  • Rebuilders should require liquidity, picks, or age insulation before moving below tier. model
  • Offer discipline matters more than forcing action at the current signal strength. consensus

Comparable assets

Nearest QB assets by current market value.

PlayerValuePPGMarket rankProduction rankEdge
Jaxson Dart headshotQB Jaxson Dart 5,345 17.6 QB9 QB14 -5
Justin Herbert headshotQB Justin Herbert 6,116 18.7 QB7 QB9 -2
Jalen Hurts headshotQB Jalen Hurts 5,321 19.1 QB10 QB12 -2

Market value Consensus market value, position-relative rank, 30-day movement, and tracked trade frequency.

Production and edge PPG uses active games. Edge compares position production rank with position market rank.