The read
HOLD. Smith has shown capability as a starter. Health and team decisions could affect late season starts.
Buy 1 · Hold 1 · Fade 1
Split signal: 1 of 3 reads lean buy.
Geno Smith Dynasty Profile
Geno Smith plays QB for NYJ, with a market value of 1,460 and 12.7 fantasy points per game across 15 active games.
QB NYJ · Age 35 · NFL year 14
Market value
1,460 +54 / 30d
QB31 on the current board
Points per game
12.7
190.9 points · 15 active games
Last 4 active
11.6 -1.1 PPG
Versus 12.7 season pace
Market edge
+1 Priced behind
QB30 production vs QB31 market
Market value · 90-day signal
Current value 1,460. The final 30-day move is +54.
The final 30 days use the verified market delta. Earlier points provide directional context and are not recorded daily history.
Market position
- Tier expectation
- -1.8 PPG vs Bench baseline
- Trade frequency
- 0.7% of tracked trades, 30 days
- 30-day move
- +54 (+3.8%)
- Board position
- QB31 market · QB30 production
The Dynalyze take
Recurring themes
- QB31 market rank versus QB30 production rank BUY 1 of 3 reads
- Last-four pace is -1.1 PPG versus season pace FADE 1 of 3 reads
- Market value is essentially flat over 30 days (+54) HOLD 1 of 3 reads
The case
Bull case
- 190.9 points across 15 active games. box scores
- 12.7 PPG is -1.8 versus the current tier baseline. model
- QB30 production keeps the profile competitive at the position. model
Bear case
- Last-four pace is -1.1 PPG versus the season rate. box scores
- QB31 market rank versus QB30 production rank defines the price risk. market feed
- Risk of losing starting job late in season. Not ideal for best ball tournaments focused on week 17. High cap hit ($31 million) for a bridge QB. Uncertainty about long-term role. The role concern is high, so the price should leave room for that uncertainty. consensus
Roster fit
- Contenders should hold unless an offer clearly improves the weekly lineup. model
- Rebuilders should require liquidity, picks, or age insulation before moving below tier. model
- Offer discipline matters more than forcing action at the current signal strength. consensus
Comparable assets
Nearest QB assets by current market value.
| Player | Value | PPG | Market rank | Production rank | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 QB Tua Tagovailoa |
1,442 | 12.6 | QB32 | QB32 | 0 |
 QB Aaron Rodgers |
1,391 | 14.6 | QB33 | QB22 | +11 |
 QB Jacoby Brissett |
1,531 | 16.8 | QB30 | QB15 | +15 |