The read
BUY. Production inflated by absence of top receiver. New system and competition reduce opportunity.
Buy 2 · Hold 0 · Fade 1
Moderate agreement: 2 of 3 reads lean buy.
Michael Wilson Dynasty Profile
Michael Wilson plays WR for ARI, with a market value of 1,905 and 13 fantasy points per game across 17 active games.
WR ARI · Age 26 · NFL year 4
Market value
1,905 -147 / 30d
WR45 on the current board
Points per game
13.0
220.6 points · 17 active games
Last 4 active
17.6 +4.6 PPG
Versus 13.0 season pace
Market edge
+33 Priced behind
WR12 production vs WR45 market
Market value · 90-day signal
Current value 1,905. The final 30-day move is -147.
The final 30 days use the verified market delta. Earlier points provide directional context and are not recorded daily history.
Market position
- Tier expectation
- -1 PPG vs Tier2 baseline
- Trade frequency
- 1.6% of tracked trades, 30 days
- 30-day move
- -147 (-7.2%)
- Board position
- WR45 market · WR12 production
The Dynalyze take
Recurring themes
- WR45 market rank versus WR12 production rank BUY 2 of 3 reads
- Last-four pace is +4.6 PPG versus season pace BUY 2 of 3 reads
- Market value moved -147 over 30 days FADE 1 of 3 reads
The case
Bull case
- 220.6 points across 17 active games. box scores
- 13.0 PPG is -1 versus the current tier baseline. model
- WR12 production keeps the profile competitive at the position. model
Bear case
- Last-four pace is +4.6 PPG versus the season rate. box scores
- WR45 market rank versus WR12 production rank defines the price risk. market feed
- Wilson has talent and can help a team win. He was a breakout star in the back half of 2025. The role concern is high, so the price should leave room for that uncertainty. consensus
Roster fit
- Contenders can buy when the deal preserves depth and pays the current tier. model
- Rebuilders should require liquidity, picks, or age insulation before moving below tier. model
- Offer discipline matters more than forcing action at the current signal strength. consensus
Comparable assets
Nearest WR assets by current market value.
| Player | Value | PPG | Market rank | Production rank | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 WR Matthew Golden |
1,902 | 5 | WR46 | WR79 | -33 |
 WR Mike Evans |
1,941 | 10.6 | WR44 | WR45 | -1 |
 WR DK Metcalf |
1,949 | 12.5 | WR43 | WR22 | +21 |